A structured analysis of competing interpretations of the evidentiary record. The meter is not a verdict prediction.
Measures which side the current evidentiary record favors under the Case Meter methodology.
The Case Meter does not force the evidence into one narrative. Evidence supporting psychiatric impairment can coexist with evidence of organized or reality-based functioning. The meter reflects the weighted balance between competing propositions.
These values are the current cluster-adjusted pilot results. They will be replaced by the full 1,580-record analysis when processing is complete.
Once the full evidence-link analysis is complete, this section will surface the highest-impact evidence on both sides with links back to the underlying record.
The final Case Meter combines six separate analytical factors. Mental State is the first factor being processed against the complete evidence ledger.
Trial evidence is converted into structured evidence records containing the claim, source, timing, directness, materiality, and confidence information used by the analysis.
Evidence is evaluated against predefined propositions that represent competing interpretations favorable to the Defense, Commonwealth, or neither side.
Relevance, strength, timing, and corroboration affect evidence weight. Related records are clustered so repeated descriptions of the same underlying fact do not receive unrestricted votes.
This project is independently built and maintained. Trial transcripts, evidence records, source links, analysis, and Case Meter updates take time and infrastructure to process. If the site has been useful, your support helps keep it available and expanding throughout the trial.
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The Case Meter is an evidence-analysis system, not an opinion poll. The evidentiary record is evaluated against 30 predefined propositions divided across six analytical factors.
Competing evidence is retained rather than forced into a single interpretation. Evidence may support one proposition, undermine another, provide context, or be classified as irrelevant to a particular proposition.
Related evidence records may be clustered to reduce double-counting when multiple records describe the same underlying event or fact.
Directional evidence receives a base weight derived from:
Proposition scores compare signed directional evidence with total evidence mass and include a prior that shrinks sparse propositions toward neutral.
The Case Meter uses an internal axis from -100 to +100: negative values lean Defense, positive values lean Commonwealth, and values near zero indicate a more balanced evidentiary record.
Scores are analytical index values. They are not percentages and are not probabilities of a verdict.
The Case Meter is an experimental evidence-analysis tool designed to organize and quantify competing interpretations of evidence contained in the trial record.
It does not determine guilt, innocence, criminal responsibility, witness credibility, or what a judge or jury should decide.
Scores are not predictions of a verdict. They reflect the output of a defined analytical methodology applied to the evidence currently contained in the database and may change as testimony, exhibits, expert evidence, corrections, or additional source material are incorporated.